Who's betting on “Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 62% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 55 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $679 by 42 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 62% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 6% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
The smart money
62% of the money on Yes and 6% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points. A week ago, Yes by 88 points.
Who holds it
42 wallets hold a position worth $679 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $81 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is predictdogepepewif, with $38 on it, $39K lifetime loss over 7,552 markets (23% won).
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $557
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $122
- Holders' win rate
- 39%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$557 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$81+$254K lifetime
- 2EsperanzasDESTROYER75% won of 204 · balanced$69+$38K lifetime
- 3sunnynotbunny60% won of 468$63−$28K lifetime
- 40x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675485% won of 13$52+$8.7K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$49−$378K lifetime
No$122 on it
- 1predictdogepepewif23% won of 7,552$38−$39K lifetime
- 2pppnn34% won of 8,140$38−$79K lifetime
- 3SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$35−$9.0K lifetime
- 4ddaasdf44% won of 7,626 · balanced$8+$66 lifetime
- 50x05b2…c70d52% won of 286$2−$28 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Turner Prize 2026 Winner
2 more- Tanoa Sasraku$16K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
- Simeon Barclay$13K vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money: No
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- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?"?
42 wallets hold a position worth $679 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $81 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is predictdogepepewif, with $38 on it, $39K lifetime loss over 7,552 markets (23% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
62% of the money on Yes and 6% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points. A week ago, Yes by 88 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.