Who's betting on “Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? ”?
Smart money leans No: 54% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 39 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $99K traded all time
- Held now
- $20K by 167 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 14% 95 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 54% 72 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $99K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
14% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
Who holds it
167 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 167 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x5f62746Ad55527ad75b4795bec7cd45F557eD989-1782276826909, with $224 on it, $5.9K lifetime loss over 166 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is bullishkirby2, with $7.5K on it, $11K lifetime loss over 16 markets (81% won).
- Holders
- 95
- Money on it
- $907
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$907 on it
- 10x5f62746Ad55527ad75b4795bec7cd45F557eD989-178227682690958% won of 166$224−$5.9K lifetime
- 20xD2cba0c6464F96d2567eCC81D5F708d9670e7729-177651381632383% won of 48$96−$462 lifetime
- 3suntori47% won of 72,096$67−$12M lifetime
- 4GROKSUPERB0T78% won of 77$52−$1.9K lifetime
- 5leiahmybot63% won of 19$39+$570 lifetime
No$19K on it
- 1bullishkirby281% won of 16$7.5K−$11K lifetime
- 20x8931…a90c95% won of 609 · whale$4.2K+$29K lifetime
- 3Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$3.6K+$801K lifetime
- 4lisra96% won of 725 · balanced$788+$17K lifetime
- 5Xeny61% won of 250 · whale$387+$106K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? "?
167 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 167 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x5f62746Ad55527ad75b4795bec7cd45F557eD989-1782276826909, with $224 on it, $5.9K lifetime loss over 166 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is bullishkirby2, with $7.5K on it, $11K lifetime loss over 16 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? "?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $99K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
14% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.