Who's betting on “Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September?”?
Smart money leans No: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 62% 26 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 1, 2026.
The smart money
62% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x12AA647E9607FC7EB46D8F44a85FB57ba7F3CCd9-1771896920513, with $5 on it, $99 lifetime loss over 84 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is PippiTrader, with $749 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 3,858 markets (63% won).
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $14
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$14 on it
- 10x12AA647E9607FC7EB46D8F44a85FB57ba7F3CCd9-177189692051386% won of 84$5−$99 lifetime
- 2thanksforplayin58% won of 2,163 · whale$3+$262K lifetime
- 3BornAgain2680% won of 226$2−$5.1K lifetime
- 4Sixsevensix75% won of 213$2−$3.9K lifetime
- 5Chi888827% won of 202$1−$1.5K lifetime
No$2.1K on it
- 1PippiTrader63% won of 3,858 · whale$749+$37K lifetime
- 20x71f815a8056cbC91C5ef8f95F3B8403B9c0d4789-177404173169058% won of 66 · balanced$373+$447 lifetime
- 3lilesto242% won of 1,050$298−$38K lifetime
- 4schneider83% won of 249$199−$85 lifetime
- 50xa037d9Ae501a6830a8F37610e6baC4B721672fB3-177713168206792% won of 71 · balanced$199+$1.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
3 more- ↑ $780$19K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- ↓ $740$38K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- ↑ $790$18K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x12AA647E9607FC7EB46D8F44a85FB57ba7F3CCd9-1771896920513, with $5 on it, $99 lifetime loss over 84 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is PippiTrader, with $749 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 3,858 markets (63% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
62% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.