Who's betting on “Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?”?
Pop culture · $326K volume · Ends February 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 44¢ and No at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of No. $326K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
59% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago it was split.
305 wallets hold a position worth $45K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 305 of them. The largest Yes holder is schizohedgehog, with $13K on it, $164K lifetime profit over 65 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is UZZ242, with $980 on it, $972 lifetime loss over 259 markets (81% won).
- Smart money share
- 59%
- Holders
- 193
- Money on it
- $40K
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 52% ▲ 10 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 112
- Money on it
- $4.6K
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| schizohedgehogwhale | $13K | +$164K | 80% of 65 |
| Investnow | $6.8K | -$68K | 39% of 342 |
| 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276 | $2.6K | -$47K | 59% of 1,160 |
| ImBruceWayne | $1.8K | +$0 | - |
| eCashwhale | $1.8K | +$273K | 70% of 652 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| UZZ242 | $980 | -$972 | 81% of 259 |
| BikesAreTheBikeswhale | $400 | +$101K | 65% of 1,329 |
| Annihilationbalanced | $369 | +$6.3K | 62% of 253 |
| dushen009 | $308 | -$1.1K | 40% of 52 |
| Turbo-Jwhale | $269 | +$4.8K | 74% of 208 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
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Who's betting on Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?"?
305 wallets hold a position worth $45K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 305 of them. The largest Yes holder is schizohedgehog, with $13K on it, $164K lifetime profit over 65 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is UZZ242, with $980 on it, $972 lifetime loss over 259 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 44¢ and No at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of No. $326K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on February 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.