Who's betting on “Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?”?
Pop culture · $185K volume · Ends February 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $185K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
67% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
166 wallets hold a position worth $863 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 166 of them. The largest Yes holder is maxdawg, with $8 on it, $74K lifetime profit over 92 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is donthackme, with $749 on it, $907K lifetime profit over 69,634 markets (29% won).
- Smart money share
- 67%
- Holders
- 141
- Money on it
- $42
- Holders' winrate
- 48%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 97%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $821
- Holders' winrate
- 32%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| maxdawgbalanced | $8 | +$74K | 64% of 92 |
| 0x5702A068CF8c5Fe322ECd03a0962F83f4aB8Aa49-1775448461869 | $5 | -$73 | 27% of 15 |
| Nadminoise | $5 | +$147K | 34% of 1,203 |
| 0xIhornoise | $3 | +$183 | 42% of 100 |
| xajkillnoise | $2 | +$358 | 46% of 201 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| donthackmenoise | $749 | +$907K | 29% of 69,634 |
| paas2whale | $20 | +$57K | 92% of 509 |
| 44jeynoise | $15 | +$72 | 56% of 34 |
| productswhale | $9 | +$28K | 48% of 1,149 |
| ddeee43 | $5 | -$27 | 81% of 36 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Who's betting on Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?"?
166 wallets hold a position worth $863 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 166 of them. The largest Yes holder is maxdawg, with $8 on it, $74K lifetime profit over 92 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is donthackme, with $749 on it, $907K lifetime profit over 69,634 markets (29% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $185K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
67% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on February 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.