Who's betting on “Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $103K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.2K by 113 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 68 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 44 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $103K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
113 wallets hold a position worth $6.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 112 of them. The largest Yes holder is tja, with $85 on it, $143K lifetime profit over 1,032 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is AmandaDavis4687, with $2.5K on it, $418 lifetime profit over 112 markets (46% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $85 on Yes.
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $205
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 1 · $85
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $6.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$205 on it
- 1tja73% won of 1,032 · sniper$85+$143K lifetime
- 21walrus60% won of 1,303 · whale$23+$38K lifetime
- 3prospekt33% won of 123$15−$1.3K lifetime
- 4paprikc8% won of 12$8−$54 lifetime
- 5YoungMoziRPG86% won of 203 · grinder$7+$2.0K lifetime
No$6.0K on it
- 1AmandaDavis468746% won of 112 · noise$2.5K+$418 lifetime
- 2freefilm48% won of 137 · noise$1.1K+$636 lifetime
- 3NathanielMeyer256543% won of 200$1.1K−$82 lifetime
- 4AmyStephens464942% won of 127 · noise$266+$1.6K lifetime
- 5generalmilky67% won of 15$179+$367 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
3 more- 200 or more$107K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- 180-199$62K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- 140-159$50K vol.Yes 67%No 33%Smart money: No
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?"?
113 wallets hold a position worth $6.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 112 of them. The largest Yes holder is tja, with $85 on it, $143K lifetime profit over 1,032 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is AmandaDavis4687, with $2.5K on it, $418 lifetime profit over 112 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $103K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.