Who's betting on “Will Rob Thomson win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $59K traded all time
- Held now
- $329 by 33 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 30 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 3 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $59K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 19, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
Who holds it
33 wallets hold a position worth $329 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them. The largest Yes holder is planktonXD, with $1 on it, $132K lifetime profit over 6,321 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $317 on it, $129K lifetime profit over 9,933 markets (43% won).
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $6
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 3
- Money on it
- $322
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6 on it
- 1planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$1+$132K lifetime
- 2Huye16866% won of 1,136 · whale$1+$1.1K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$1+$28K lifetime
- 42kparabellum90% won of 154$0−$99 lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$0+$254K lifetime
No$322 on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$317+$129K lifetime
- 2c60979% won of 34 · balanced$5+$36 lifetime
- 3balthazar53% won of 52,697 · whale$0+$1.2M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MLB: NL Manager of the Year
4 more- Walt Weiss$36K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: No
- Pat Murphy$30K vol.Yes 87%No 13%Smart money: Yes
- Carlos Mendoza$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Oliver Marmol$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$37M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.3M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Rob Thomson win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?"?
33 wallets hold a position worth $329 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them. The largest Yes holder is planktonXD, with $1 on it, $132K lifetime profit over 6,321 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $317 on it, $129K lifetime profit over 9,933 markets (43% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Rob Thomson win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $59K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 19, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 19, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.