Who's betting on “Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 83 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.0K by 38 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 4% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 4% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 83 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 83 points. A week ago, Yes by 78 points.
Who holds it
38 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $23 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $1.8K on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $83
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$83 on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$23+$203K lifetime
- 2rainbowlilies43% won of 2,665 · whale$13+$172K lifetime
- 3MemeLoverOfficial16% won of 735 · noise$9+$36K lifetime
- 4D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$8+$85K lifetime
- 5hr26g2re62de62% won of 259 · whale$4+$15K lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$1.8K−$59K lifetime
- 2WholeFawn127845% won of 101 · noise$79+$34 lifetime
- 3SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$29−$9.0K lifetime
- 40x539b…c64f99% won of 558 · grinder$1+$75 lifetime
- 5laborday2563% won of 80 · balanced$1+$158 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
2 more- Julianne Moore$102K vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money split
- Inde Navarrette$32K vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
38 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $23 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $1.8K on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 4% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 83 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 83 points. A week ago, Yes by 78 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.