Who's betting on “Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $102K traded all time
- Held now
- $25K by 94 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 78% 52 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 76¢ and No at 24¢, a 76% implied chance of Yes. $102K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
94 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 94 of them. The largest Yes holder is wolfmoon, with $7.9K on it, $8.3K lifetime profit over 255 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $2.2K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $559 on Yes.
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 1 · $559
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $5.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$19K on it
- 1wolfmoon47% won of 255 · whale$7.9K+$8.3K lifetime
- 2Highboard51% won of 204$3.4K−$29K lifetime
- 3ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$1.8K+$2.3M lifetime
- 40xe636…0e88100% won of 5$1.5K+$31 lifetime
- 5leftisright51% won of 183 · balanced$822+$1.6K lifetime
No$5.6K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$2.2K+$203K lifetime
- 2rainbowlilies43% won of 2,665 · whale$911+$172K lifetime
- 30x49F20662% won of 862$537−$41K lifetime
- 4Haelios51% won of 289 · balanced$525+$372 lifetime
- 5Xyzeric43% won of 215$177−$1.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
2 more- Inde Navarrette$32K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- Renate Reinsve$15K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
94 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 94 of them. The largest Yes holder is wolfmoon, with $7.9K on it, $8.3K lifetime profit over 255 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $2.2K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 76¢ and No at 24¢, a 76% implied chance of Yes. $102K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.