Who's betting on “Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 54 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 16% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 35¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
The smart money
16% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, Yes by 27 points.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is rouxshan, with $763 on it, $274 lifetime loss over 106 markets (33% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $81 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 39%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $333
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.2K on it
- 1rouxshan33% won of 106$763−$274 lifetime
- 2tradetosurvive145% won of 25,344$119−$217K lifetime
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$57+$334K lifetime
- 4financegaaaydog65% won of 620$40−$1.4K lifetime
- 52B9S27% won of 14,477 · noise$34+$97K lifetime
No$333 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$81+$255K lifetime
- 2ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$73+$313K lifetime
- 3KimchiCapital76% won of 514 · balanced$43+$37K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,296$37−$52K lifetime
- 50xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-178200852819057% won of 2,344$29−$3.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is rouxshan, with $763 on it, $274 lifetime loss over 106 markets (33% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $81 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 35¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
16% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, Yes by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.