Who's betting on “Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.9K by 45 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 60¢, a 60% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points.
Who holds it
45 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is Minteamade, with $666 on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 200 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is notssf3, with $650 on it, $73K lifetime profit over 218 markets (67% won).
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.2K on it
- 1Minteamade79% won of 200 · balanced$666+$1.0K lifetime
- 2enrico-vasaio65% won of 1,070 · whale$122+$23K lifetime
- 3vonhalen36% won of 455$97−$728 lifetime
- 4SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$89−$9.0K lifetime
- 5bubububblebutt88% won of 837$41−$870 lifetime
No$1.7K on it
- 1notssf367% won of 218 · whale$650+$73K lifetime
- 20x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-177788278671557% won of 416 · whale$338+$6.3K lifetime
- 30xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$222+$91K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$125−$377K lifetime
- 5tongoG61% won of 49$89−$310 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in OpenAI IPO by...?
2 more- December 31, 2026$1.1M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- September 30, 2026$151K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?"?
45 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is Minteamade, with $666 on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 200 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is notssf3, with $650 on it, $73K lifetime profit over 218 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 60¢, a 60% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.