Who's betting on “Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 56 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.6K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 35% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
35% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 54 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xFa2E35DFf31D5D208F688d6C19A0f3D91Ac4162c-1783200081561, with $306 on it, $161 lifetime loss over 201 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is evoi9, with $672 on it, $6.5K lifetime profit over 176 markets (90% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $753
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$753 on it
- 10xFa2E35DFf31D5D208F688d6C19A0f3D91Ac4162c-178320008156171% won of 201$306−$161 lifetime
- 2marcopolosrhino38% won of 290 · noise$98+$207 lifetime
- 3myibaba85% won of 73 · balanced$82+$110 lifetime
- 4cacros67% won of 198$66−$98 lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$50+$254K lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1evoi990% won of 176 · whale$672+$6.5K lifetime
- 2HDGB65% won of 498 · whale$590+$75K lifetime
- 3Liquidifier49% won of 1,151 · whale$422+$181K lifetime
- 4crazyfellow88% won of 64$101−$244 lifetime
- 5GenaTheBondKilIer46% won of 468 · whale$36+$41K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xFa2E35DFf31D5D208F688d6C19A0f3D91Ac4162c-1783200081561, with $306 on it, $161 lifetime loss over 201 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is evoi9, with $672 on it, $6.5K lifetime profit over 176 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
35% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 54 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.