Who's betting on “Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.6K by 77 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 93% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 75% 39 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $20K has been traded on it.
The smart money
93% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.
Who holds it
77 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them.
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $11
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 88%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 2nd Largest Company end of September?
3 more- Apple$57K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- NVIDIA$44K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Alphabet$27K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?"?
77 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?"?
This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $20K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
93% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $20K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.