Who's betting on “Will Michigan State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 75 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.6K by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 97% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 21% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 60¢, a 60% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 27, 2026.
The smart money
97% of the money on Yes and 21% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 75 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 75 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x53eCc53E7, with $2.2K on it, $32K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is KindaBoiled, with $2.2K on it, $2.8K lifetime loss over 28 markets (54% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $3.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.3K on it
- 10x53eCc53E748% won of 1,087 · whale$2.2K+$32K lifetime
- 2janglinjack50% won of 328$30−$4.7K lifetime
- 3PMWolf47% won of 671$21−$776 lifetime
- 4DuneMentat74% won of 841$8−$12K lifetime
- 529EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.59% won of 16,841$8−$4.7K lifetime
No$3.3K on it
- 1KindaBoiled54% won of 28$2.2K−$2.8K lifetime
- 2extractive-manatee59% won of 1,590 · whale$634+$83K lifetime
- 3JustADonk54% won of 869$198−$112K lifetime
- 4ABC1234565432148% won of 6,025$76−$1.3K lifetime
- 50x476c1E85d5798B6d6E28DEA0B34306017EadcE52-176596846802389% won of 299 · balanced$68+$7.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Michigan State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x53eCc53E7, with $2.2K on it, $32K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is KindaBoiled, with $2.2K on it, $2.8K lifetime loss over 28 markets (54% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Michigan State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 60¢, a 60% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Yes and 21% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 75 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 75 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.