Who's betting on “Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 51% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $34K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.9K by 186 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 51% 95 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 44% 91 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
51% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
Who holds it
186 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 186 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $21 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 15,896 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is 0x3Ec4a70fccaaA806Cebd379E908b57f80e9Bd553-1730483021372, with $968 on it, $2.0K lifetime loss over 98 markets (33% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2 on No.
- Holders
- 95
- Money on it
- $101
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 91
- Money on it
- $4.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$101 on it
- 1LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$21+$28K lifetime
- 2Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$11+$44K lifetime
- 369696969696969696965% won of 20$8−$102 lifetime
- 4TheBigYes48% won of 21$5−$93 lifetime
- 5MtnMark53% won of 101 · balanced$4+$11K lifetime
No$4.8K on it
- 10x3Ec4a70fccaaA806Cebd379E908b57f80e9Bd553-173048302137233% won of 98$968−$2.0K lifetime
- 2gmeowcl70% won of 64$831−$8.1K lifetime
- 3DontTrustMe87% won of 125 · balanced$589+$9.9K lifetime
- 4Bobic61% won of 462 · balanced$576+$5.3K lifetime
- 50x6c10…df5c66% won of 1,065$196−$70K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?"?
186 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 186 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $21 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 15,896 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is 0x3Ec4a70fccaaA806Cebd379E908b57f80e9Bd553-1730483021372, with $968 on it, $2.0K lifetime loss over 98 markets (33% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
51% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.