
Who's betting on “Will Marcin Tybura be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $167K traded all time
- Held now
- $70 by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 63 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 2 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $167K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $70 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is e46m3, with $1 on it, $964K lifetime profit over 87,779 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is DumplingBMF, with $67 on it, $260K lifetime profit over 1,239 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 63
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 2
- Money on it
- $67
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3 on it
- 1e46m347% won of 87,779 · whale$1+$964K lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$0+$1.2M lifetime
- 3Lucerys41% won of 130,836 · whale$0+$288K lifetime
- 4qwen300.fund33% won of 130,894 · noise$0+$593K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$0+$255K lifetime
No$67 on it
- 1DumplingBMF70% won of 1,239 · whale$67+$260K lifetime
- 2elpatrondelaciudad0% won of 386$0−$3.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
6 more- Curtis Blaydes$67K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Waldo Cortes Acosta$48K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Alexander Volkov$35K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Ciryl Gane$31K vol.Yes 69%No 31%Smart money: No
- Josh Hokit$18K vol.Yes 32%No 68%Smart money: Yes
- Tom Aspinall$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Marcin Tybura be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $70 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is e46m3, with $1 on it, $964K lifetime profit over 87,779 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is DumplingBMF, with $67 on it, $260K lifetime profit over 1,239 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Marcin Tybura be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $167K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.