Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will Marcin Tybura be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?

Sports$167K traded65 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
0%Yes
100%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$167K
traded all time
Held now
$70
by 65 wallets
Smart share · Yes
92%
63 scored holders
Smart share · No
100%
2 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $167K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

92% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.

Who holds it

65 wallets hold a position worth $70 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is e46m3, with $1 on it, $964K lifetime profit over 87,779 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is DumplingBMF, with $67 on it, $260K lifetime profit over 1,239 markets (70% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share92%
7 days ago 92%a day ago 92%now 92%
Holders
63
Money on it
$3
Holders' win rate
44%
No100%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share100%
7 days ago 100%a day ago 100%now 100%
Holders
2
Money on it
$67
Holders' win rate
70%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$3 on it

  1. 1e46m347% won of 87,779 · whale$1+$964K lifetime
  2. 2balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$0+$1.2M lifetime
  3. 3Lucerys41% won of 130,836 · whale$0+$288K lifetime
  4. 4qwen300.fund33% won of 130,894 · noise$0+$593K lifetime
  5. 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$0+$255K lifetime

No$67 on it

  1. 1DumplingBMF70% won of 1,239 · whale$67+$260K lifetime
  2. 2elpatrondelaciudad0% won of 386$0−$3.2K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

More markets in Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

6 more
Who's betting on Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026? →

Other big sports markets

Every big sports market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Marcin Tybura be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?

65 wallets hold a position worth $70 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is e46m3, with $1 on it, $964K lifetime profit over 87,779 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is DumplingBMF, with $67 on it, $260K lifetime profit over 1,239 markets (70% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Marcin Tybura be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $167K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

92% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.