polkyo
Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?”?

Sports$43K traded52 holdersUpdated October 29, 2026
6%Yes
94%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 43 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$43K
traded all time
Held now
$1.1K
by 52 wallets
Smart share · Yes
45%
38 scored holders
Smart share · No
88%
14 scored holders
📈 Open the live signal🔔 Alert me when smart money moves

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it.

The smart money

45% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 44 points. A week ago, No by 46 points.

Who holds it

52 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is LimitOrderLarry, with $233 on it, $5.1K lifetime loss over 1,550 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is JohnP92, with $234 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 423 markets (42% won).

Yes6%
Smart money share45%
7 days ago 46%a day ago 44%now 45%
Holders
38
Money on it
$771
Holders' win rate
59%
No94%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share88%
7 days ago 92%a day ago 88%now 88%
Holders
14
Money on it
$326
Holders' win rate
48%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$771 on it

  1. 1LimitOrderLarry41% won of 1,550$233−$5.1K lifetime
  2. 2howstheweather97% won of 236$120−$17K lifetime
  3. 3Bigggggggg47% won of 7,350 · whale$116+$668K lifetime
  4. 4Mon67663% won of 261 · balanced$90+$1.9K lifetime
  5. 5satokaede92% won of 93 · balanced$36+$1.9K lifetime

No$326 on it

  1. 1JohnP9242% won of 423 · noise$234+$17K lifetime
  2. 2amandagarcia72% won of 86$23−$42 lifetime
  3. 3Hot-SkullHomelessBegger75% won of 71 · balanced$19+$16K lifetime
  4. 4KickstandBot36% won of 1,781 · noise$19+$3.0K lifetime
  5. 5JustThink83% won of 90$15+$205 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

More markets in World Cup 2030: Location of Final

4 more
Who's betting on World Cup 2030: Location of Final →

Other big sports markets

Every big sports market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?"?

52 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is LimitOrderLarry, with $233 on it, $5.1K lifetime loss over 1,550 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is JohnP92, with $234 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 423 markets (42% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it.

Which side is the smart money on?

45% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 44 points. A week ago, No by 46 points.

When does this market end?

Polymarket has not set an end date for it.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.