Who's betting on “Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?”?
Smart money leans No: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 69 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 32 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 71% 37 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 9 points. A week ago, No by 14 points.
Who holds it
69 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is Chonchitoooo, with $1.7K on it, $5.2K lifetime profit over 61 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $45 on it, $335K lifetime profit over 12,163 markets (23% won).
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $3.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $147
- Holders' win rate
- 36%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.5K on it
- 1Chonchitoooo84% won of 61 · balanced$1.7K+$5.2K lifetime
- 2heinrichmarloth66% won of 86$734−$3.0K lifetime
- 3Digital-Boy16% won of 2,232$281−$78K lifetime
- 4Ayaka6960% won of 268 · balanced$219+$1.1K lifetime
- 50x7799…d51156% won of 16$179+$6 lifetime
No$147 on it
- 10xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$45+$335K lifetime
- 2ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$26+$313K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,322 · noise$14+$254K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,967 · noise$9+$28K lifetime
- 5Grinder77734% won of 347$8−$645 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MLS: 2026 Most Valuable Player
3 more- Martin Ojeda$22K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Son Heung-min$15K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Diego Luna$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$37M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.3M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?"?
69 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is Chonchitoooo, with $1.7K on it, $5.2K lifetime profit over 61 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $45 on it, $335K lifetime profit over 12,163 markets (23% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 9 points. A week ago, No by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.