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Who's betting on “Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?”?

Sports$36K traded76 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 23, 2026
5%Yes
96%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 65 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$36K
traded all time
Held now
$8.5K
by 76 wallets
Smart share · Yes
24%
31 scored holders
Smart share · No
89%
45 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

24% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 65 points. A week ago, No by 65 points.

Who holds it

76 wallets hold a position worth $8.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 76 of them.

Yes5%
Smart money share24%
7 days ago 24%a day ago 24%now 24%
Holders
31
Money on it
$382
Holders' win rate
74%
No96%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share89%
7 days ago 89%a day ago 89%now 89%
Holders
45
Money on it
$8.1K
Holders' win rate
66%
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?"?

76 wallets hold a position worth $8.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 76 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

24% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 65 points. A week ago, No by 65 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.