Who's betting on “Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?”?
Smart money leans No: 49% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $68K traded all time
- Held now
- $18K by 88 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 43% 73 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 49% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $68K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
43% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
Who holds it
88 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 88 of them. The largest Yes holder is 1nvoker1, with $705 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 1,034 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is ldnoey, with $5.2K on it, $3.0K lifetime profit over 10 markets (90% won).
- Holders
- 73
- Money on it
- $5.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.7K on it
- 11nvoker162% won of 1,034 · whale$705+$15K lifetime
- 20x48D9fbEE837340A33010aBDbC41070b8b6a12a28-176435375063037% won of 57$606−$1.9K lifetime
- 3StudyPrediction72% won of 686$551−$5.9K lifetime
- 4scrapbook39% won of 220$470−$24K lifetime
- 5Anononono48% won of 241$470−$1.5K lifetime
No$12K on it
- 1ldnoey90% won of 10$5.2K+$3.0K lifetime
- 20x2a5f…6c9266% won of 86$2.6K−$13K lifetime
- 3Periodic-Many79% won of 57$1.8K−$99K lifetime
- 40xA79BCAbcda66CddCb6c62212f7e050308FBc9409-17817282233550% won of 2$1.3K−$335 lifetime
- 5ggvipi55% won of 1,105 · whale$689+$116K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
1 moreOther big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$37M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.3M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Lakers vs. Clippers$3.4M vol.Lakers 98%Clippers 3%Smart money: Clippers
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?"?
88 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 88 of them. The largest Yes holder is 1nvoker1, with $705 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 1,034 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is ldnoey, with $5.2K on it, $3.0K lifetime profit over 10 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $68K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
43% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.