
Who's betting on “Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.4K by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 55% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 85¢ and No at 15¢, an 85% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 15, 2027.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is tetrase, with $3.0K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $151 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $26 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $17 on No.
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 1 · $26
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $657
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 1 · $17
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.7K on it
- 1tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$3.0K+$973K lifetime
- 20xe636…0e88100% won of 5$363+$31 lifetime
- 3SecondLevel57% won of 23$85−$2 lifetime
- 4Artvanderlee60% won of 204$85−$2.1K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$72−$377K lifetime
No$657 on it
- 1Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$151−$59K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$73+$255K lifetime
- 3Spectrum76% won of 487 · whale$60+$9.0K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$58−$485K lifetime
- 5VVKhqdMdKjEpLsDRwu39% won of 285 · noise$54+$24K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
4 more- You Can See Everything$41K vol.Yes 78%No 22%Smart money split
- Digger$24K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: No
- Disclosure Day$12K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- The Invite$12K vol.Yes 63%No 38%Smart money: Yes
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
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- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is tetrase, with $3.0K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $151 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 85¢ and No at 15¢, an 85% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 15, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 15, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.