Who's betting on “Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.3K by 59 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 20 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 67% 39 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 21, 2027.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 64 points.
Who holds it
59 wallets hold a position worth $8.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is bZk0Uo, with $364 on it, $132 lifetime profit over 900 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is aviato, with $2.8K on it, $201K lifetime profit over 1,340 markets (80% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.2K on No.
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $447
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $7.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 2 · $1.2K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$447 on it
- 1bZk0Uo70% won of 900 · whale$364+$132 lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$23−$378K lifetime
- 3yu2525252567% won of 58 · balanced$22+$2.5K lifetime
- 40x6baAb285454C7E342172187C1e828Ec9AD3dc453-1770599668474no record yet$14+$0 lifetime
- 5lolzzzlol19% won of 45,352$5−$99K lifetime
No$7.8K on it
- 1aviato80% won of 1,340 · whale$2.8K+$201K lifetime
- 2Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$1.7K−$59K lifetime
- 3DREAMBIG.82% won of 295 · sniper$1.1K+$146K lifetime
- 4bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$304+$5.1K lifetime
- 5pengu1n26% won of 2,450 · noise$188+$1.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
4 more- You Can See Everything$41K vol.Yes 78%No 22%Smart money split
- Digger$24K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: No
- Dune: Part Three$20K vol.Yes 85%No 15%Smart money: Yes
- The Invite$12K vol.Yes 63%No 38%Smart money: Yes
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $8.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is bZk0Uo, with $364 on it, $132 lifetime profit over 900 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is aviato, with $2.8K on it, $201K lifetime profit over 1,340 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 21, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 64 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 21, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.