Who's betting on “Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?”?
Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.7K by 49 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 57% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
The smart money
57% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
Who holds it
49 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $108 on it, $129K lifetime profit over 9,933 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is Lukasburner, with $2.1K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 387 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $285
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$285 on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$108+$129K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,325$56−$52K lifetime
- 30xa0f2…184842% won of 2,592$51−$3.5M lifetime
- 4pengu-n24% won of 2,824 · noise$16+$11K lifetime
- 5sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$14+$11K lifetime
No$2.5K on it
- 1Lukasburner58% won of 387 · balanced$2.1K+$17K lifetime
- 2Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 16,022 · whale$112+$164K lifetime
- 3Mithrandir.90% won of 556 · whale$55+$11K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,364$49−$217K lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,725$20−$320K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NASCAR Cup Series: 2026 Champion
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- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?"?
49 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $108 on it, $129K lifetime profit over 9,933 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is Lukasburner, with $2.1K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 387 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
57% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.