Who's betting on “Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?”?
Finance · $155K volume · Closed · Updated September 30, 2026
This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $155K has been traded on it.
86% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.
155 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 155 of them.
- Smart money share
- 86% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $79
- Holders' winrate
- 45%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 63%
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $5.2K
- Holders' winrate
- 79%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Largest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA$689K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Apple$520K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Alphabet$308K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Amazon$158K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Tesla$151K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Saudi Aramco$144K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- SpaceX$128K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Broadcom$120K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?"?
155 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 155 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?"?
This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $155K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $155K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.