Who's betting on “Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 50% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 22 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 18% 3 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 18% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.
Who holds it
22 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 22 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $8 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,294 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is End123, with $1.2K on it, $42K lifetime loss over 674 markets (62% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $25
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 3
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$25 on it
- 1Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$8−$485K lifetime
- 2rocky4200848% won of 787 · whale$5+$4.1K lifetime
- 31BTCis1BTC12% won of 300$2−$2.6K lifetime
- 4hithitfar61% won of 3,626 · balanced$2+$14K lifetime
- 5843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.98% won of 1,036 · grinder$2+$2.2K lifetime
No$1.5K on it
- 1End12362% won of 674$1.2K−$42K lifetime
- 2Avamax74% won of 770 · whale$262+$17K lifetime
- 3Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$5+$560 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?
3 more- ↑$1.0T$11K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- ↑$700B$11K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- ↑$1.5T$11K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?"?
22 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 22 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $8 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,294 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is End123, with $1.2K on it, $42K lifetime loss over 674 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 18% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 5, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.