Who's betting on “Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?”?
Finance · $159K volume · Ends January 5, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $159K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
40% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 44 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.
143 wallets hold a position worth $43K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 143 of them. The largest Yes holder is paula0xa, with $389 on it, $1.8K lifetime loss over 24 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is TheReturnOfDarthMaul, with $16K on it, $1.6M lifetime profit over 1,014 markets (60% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $147 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 40%
- Holders
- 70
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' winrate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 1 · $147
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 84%
- Holders
- 73
- Money on it
- $41K
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| paula0xa | $389 | -$1.8K | 92% of 24 |
| Dimpled-Foalwhale | $362 | +$65K | 85% of 274 |
| srmiiie | $247 | -$57K | 87% of 15 |
| Warren-Buffettwhale | $197 | +$128K | 68% of 1,049 |
| Bull92 | $166 | -$1.1K | 83% of 40 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaulwhale | $16K | +$1.6M | 60% of 1,014 |
| risk-managerwhale | $4.8K | +$196K | 59% of 1,007 |
| DEGENKHANwhale | $4.7K | +$105K | 74% of 1,139 |
| yoyobb2018 | $4.1K | -$1.6K | 78% of 1,033 |
| 0x9F5711cA7364Ac9c44FFd025299Ff02a82e54f12-1771220305388balanced | $2.4K | +$55 | 56% of 200 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$3.0T$1.5M vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: No
- ↑$4.0T$916K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- ↑$2.0T$871K vol.Yes 62%No 38%Smart money: Yes
- ↑$1.75T$735K vol.Yes 78%No 22%Smart money: Yes
- ↑$2.5T$505K vol.Yes 26%No 75%Smart money: No
- ↑$5.0T$440K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- ↑$1.5T$288K vol.Yes 94%No 7%Smart money: No
- ↓$700B$78K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- ↓$600B$52K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
Who's betting on Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? →
Other big finance markets
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- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?"?
143 wallets hold a position worth $43K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 143 of them. The largest Yes holder is paula0xa, with $389 on it, $1.8K lifetime loss over 24 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is TheReturnOfDarthMaul, with $16K on it, $1.6M lifetime profit over 1,014 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $159K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
40% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 44 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 5, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.