Who's betting on “Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.2K by 36 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
Who holds it
36 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is Liquidifier, with $398 on it, $181K lifetime profit over 1,151 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is 0xJasonSan, with $398 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 662 markets (78% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $604
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $618
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$604 on it
- 1Liquidifier49% won of 1,151 · whale$398+$181K lifetime
- 2HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$44+$325K lifetime
- 3Beroserk97% won of 202$39+$119 lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$31−$377K lifetime
- 5hfv42% won of 44,721$19−$142K lifetime
No$618 on it
- 10xJasonSan78% won of 662 · whale$398+$14K lifetime
- 2financegaaaydog65% won of 620$73−$1.4K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$56+$255K lifetime
- 4sharonhall73% won of 85$25−$82 lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,344$24−$217K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?"?
36 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is Liquidifier, with $398 on it, $181K lifetime profit over 1,151 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is 0xJasonSan, with $398 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 662 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.