Who's betting on “Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $165K traded all time
- Held now
- $877 by 132 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 67% 95 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 67% 37 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $165K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
67% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
132 wallets hold a position worth $877 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 132 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $4 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 15,917 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is zootv, with $179 on it, $1.7K lifetime profit over 91 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 95
- Money on it
- $26
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $852
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$26 on it
- 1LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$4+$28K lifetime
- 2garbagecollect164% won of 4,661 · whale$2+$6.0K lifetime
- 31walrus60% won of 1,303 · whale$2+$38K lifetime
- 4Joe-Biden53% won of 282 · whale$1+$1.5M lifetime
- 50x29ef…ddda31% won of 10,797$1−$12K lifetime
No$852 on it
- 1zootv46% won of 91 · noise$179+$1.7K lifetime
- 2vitalitytens58% won of 205$163−$737 lifetime
- 3Orion9669% won of 674 · whale$149+$37K lifetime
- 4AnthonyBeasley553044% won of 200 · noise$94+$958 lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,306$63−$51K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
7 more- 5-6$120K vol.Yes 38%No 62%Smart money: Yes
- <5$105K vol.Yes 54%No 47%Smart money split
- 9-10$66K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 15-16$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- >16$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 11-12$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 13-14$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?"?
132 wallets hold a position worth $877 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 132 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $4 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 15,917 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is zootv, with $179 on it, $1.7K lifetime profit over 91 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $165K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
67% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.