Who's betting on “Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 39% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $120K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.0K by 125 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 39% 81 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 32% 44 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 38¢ and No at 62¢, a 62% implied chance of No. $120K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
39% of the money on Yes and 32% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.
Who holds it
125 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 125 of them.
- Holders
- 81
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $316
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
7 more- 7-8$165K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- <5$105K vol.Yes 54%No 47%Smart money split
- 9-10$66K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 15-16$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- >16$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 11-12$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 13-14$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?"?
125 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 125 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 38¢ and No at 62¢, a 62% implied chance of No. $120K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
39% of the money on Yes and 32% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.