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Who's betting on “Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?”?

Pop culture$13K traded96 holdersEnds September 28, 2026Updated September 27, 2026
19%Yes🧠 smart money
81%No

Smart money leans Yes: 74% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$13K
traded all time
Held now
$2.5K
by 96 wallets
Smart share · Yes
74%
60 scored holders
Smart share · No
64%
36 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 28, 2026.

The smart money

74% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.

Who holds it

96 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 96 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mantzuraj, with $285 on it, $3.6K lifetime loss over 743 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is Started-with-20-USD, with $231 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 571 markets (55% won).

Yes19%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share74%
a day ago 74%now 74%
Holders
60
Money on it
$1.5K
Holders' win rate
58%
No81%
Smart money share64%
a day ago 64%now 64%
Holders
36
Money on it
$989
Holders' win rate
52%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.5K on it

  1. 1Mantzuraj56% won of 743$285−$3.6K lifetime
  2. 2jimmer-fredette67% won of 290 · balanced$221+$9.5K lifetime
  3. 3Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$133−$377K lifetime
  4. 4crckr83% won of 904 · whale$81+$52K lifetime
  5. 5cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,326 · whale$67+$8.2K lifetime

No$989 on it

  1. 1Started-with-20-USD55% won of 571 · whale$231+$54K lifetime
  2. 2cigarettes46% won of 49,298$229−$52K lifetime
  3. 3catalanpaths73% won of 240 · balanced$67+$33K lifetime
  4. 4rocky4201452% won of 1,103 · whale$61+$6.2K lifetime
  5. 5LesterDiamond41% won of 3,957 · noise$61+$204K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?"?

96 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 96 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mantzuraj, with $285 on it, $3.6K lifetime loss over 743 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is Started-with-20-USD, with $231 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 571 markets (55% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

74% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on September 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.