polkyo
Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)”?

Sports$30K traded65 holdersEnds September 27, 2026Updated September 27, 2026
65%Valesca Machado🧠 smart money
36%Melissa Amaya

Smart money leans Valesca Machado: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$30K
traded all time
Held now
$21K
by 65 wallets
Smart share · Valesca Machado
79%
31 scored holders
Smart share · Melissa Amaya
66%
33 scored holders
📈 Open the live signal🔔 Alert me when smart money moves

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Valesca Machado at 65¢ and Melissa Amaya at 36¢, a 65% implied chance of Valesca Machado. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 27, 2026.

The smart money

79% of the money on Valesca Machado and 66% of the money on Melissa Amaya is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Valesca Machado, by 13 points. A week ago, Valesca Machado by 13 points.

Who holds it

65 wallets hold a position worth $21K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Valesca Machado holder is sts22, with $10K on it, $60K lifetime profit over 127 markets (87% won). The largest Melissa Amaya holder is ferrariChampions2026, with $6.0K on it, $1.9M lifetime profit over 27,892 markets (58% won).

Valesca Machado65%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share79%
a day ago 79%now 79%
Holders
32
Money on it
$14K
Holders' win rate
62%
Melissa Amaya36%
Smart money share66%
a day ago 66%now 66%
Holders
33
Money on it
$7.5K
Holders' win rate
76%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Valesca Machado$14K on it

  1. 1sts2287% won of 127 · whale$10K+$60K lifetime
  2. 20x4488…e31954% won of 1,229 · whale$6.0K+$992K lifetime
  3. 3364839348904758% won of 650$3.2K−$338K lifetime
  4. 4pup142% won of 1,158 · noise$2.6K+$337K lifetime
  5. 50x6E35F901bf88F7B0eb6E87Fb3C8e23C524dB8ca4-176754200803463% won of 72 · balanced$2.0K+$27K lifetime

Melissa Amaya$7.5K on it

  1. 1ferrariChampions202658% won of 27,892 · whale$6.0K+$1.9M lifetime
  2. 2GEAEW91% won of 315$4.1K−$45K lifetime
  3. 3alpheclabs50% won of 15,255$2.6K−$981K lifetime
  4. 4christianox45% won of 137$1.8K−$124K lifetime
  5. 5dips.47% won of 26,197 · whale$1.1K+$14K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

Other big sports markets

Every big sports market →

Questions

Who is betting on "UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)"?

65 wallets hold a position worth $21K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Valesca Machado holder is sts22, with $10K on it, $60K lifetime profit over 127 markets (87% won). The largest Melissa Amaya holder is ferrariChampions2026, with $6.0K on it, $1.9M lifetime profit over 27,892 markets (58% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)"?

Polymarket prices Valesca Machado at 65¢ and Melissa Amaya at 36¢, a 65% implied chance of Valesca Machado. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 27, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

79% of the money on Valesca Machado and 66% of the money on Melissa Amaya is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Valesca Machado, by 13 points. A week ago, Valesca Machado by 13 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on September 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.