Who's betting on “UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)”?
Smart money leans Tom Nolan: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 57 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 89 wallets
- Smart share · Renato Moicano
- 26% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · Tom Nolan
- 84% 46 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Renato Moicano at 54¢ and Tom Nolan at 47¢, a 54% implied chance of Renato Moicano. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
26% of the money on Renato Moicano and 84% of the money on Tom Nolan is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Tom Nolan, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned Tom Nolan, by 72 points.
Who holds it
89 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 88 of them. The largest Renato Moicano holder is morpheus23, with $3.4K on it, $16K lifetime loss over 22 markets (100% won). The largest Tom Nolan holder is VeryLucky888, with $1.7K on it, $414K lifetime profit over 61,504 markets (59% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $412 on Renato Moicano.
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $5.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 88%
- Snipers
- 1 · $412
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $5.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsRenato Moicano$5.8K on it
- 1morpheus23100% won of 22$3.4K−$16K lifetime
- 2n.jordanov85% won of 47 · sniper$412+$24K lifetime
- 3Painfulvoid94% won of 494$355−$585K lifetime
- 4Gl4d60% won of 1,092 · whale$336+$37K lifetime
- 5DurchdenHandelstimmstdu68% won of 268 · balanced$268+$7.3K lifetime
Tom Nolan$5.1K on it
- 1VeryLucky88859% won of 61,504 · whale$1.7K+$414K lifetime
- 2C63AMG66% won of 434 · whale$1.1K+$158K lifetime
- 3dovetail80% won of 473 · whale$486+$1.8K lifetime
- 40x6F86ac71c581a997a37aDCDE3A7fBa1b25954fa9-177764233111584% won of 233$232−$159 lifetime
- 5Kuntro279% won of 736 · whale$186+$16K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)"?
89 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 88 of them. The largest Renato Moicano holder is morpheus23, with $3.4K on it, $16K lifetime loss over 22 markets (100% won). The largest Tom Nolan holder is VeryLucky888, with $1.7K on it, $414K lifetime profit over 61,504 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)"?
Polymarket prices Renato Moicano at 54¢ and Tom Nolan at 47¢, a 54% implied chance of Renato Moicano. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Renato Moicano and 84% of the money on Tom Nolan is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Tom Nolan, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned Tom Nolan, by 72 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.