Who's betting on “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 21?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $19K by 66 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 27% 32 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 21, 2026 and resolved Yes. $20K has been traded on it.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
66 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them.
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $18K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $471
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 21?
1 moreOther big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.3M vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Too little scored money to compare
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 21?"?
66 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 21?"?
This market closed on October 21, 2026 and resolved Yes. $20K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 21, 2026 and resolved Yes. $20K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.