Who's betting on “SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 48 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.5K by 87 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 51% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
51% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.
Who holds it
87 wallets hold a position worth $9.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is EirikFH, with $64 on it, $2.0K lifetime profit over 8 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is 0x5b91…2709, with $3.0K on it, $54K lifetime profit over 1,033 markets (76% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $59 on No.
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $318
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $9.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
- Snipers
- 1 · $59
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$318 on it
- 1EirikFH100% won of 8$64+$2.0K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,967 · noise$36+$28K lifetime
- 3mewmew164% won of 1,151$33−$16K lifetime
- 4France2170% won of 1$32−$1.6K lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$15−$485K lifetime
No$9.2K on it
- 10x5b91…270976% won of 1,033 · whale$3.0K+$54K lifetime
- 2Paul97397393% won of 1,343 · whale$1.9K+$14K lifetime
- 30x8931…a90c95% won of 609 · whale$1.5K+$29K lifetime
- 495074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b0492% won of 1,009 · whale$981+$146K lifetime
- 5K1ngN0rth78% won of 220 · whale$590+$27K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $9.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is EirikFH, with $64 on it, $2.0K lifetime profit over 8 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is 0x5b91…2709, with $3.0K on it, $54K lifetime profit over 1,033 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
51% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.