Who's betting on “OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?”?

Finance · $319K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $319K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

69% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 5 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

440 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 440 of them. The largest Yes holder is jpurd17, with $69 on it, $1.3K lifetime profit over 9 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is 100x, with $2.9K on it, $149K lifetime profit over 145 markets (91% won).

Yes4%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
69%
Holders
281
Money on it
$570
Holders' winrate
63%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No96%
Smart money share
64%
Holders
159
Money on it
$15K
Holders' winrate
75%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
jpurd17$69+$1.3K100% of 9
Contentious-Dinnerdatewhale$68+$97K67% of 1,063
MarketCatwhale$36+$8.8K61% of 201
troimwhale$34+$81K66% of 791
JourneyerJohn$30-$5349% of 207
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
100xwhale$2.9K+$149K91% of 145
Paul973973whale$2.6K+$8.2K93% of 1,269
ImJustKenwhale$1.5K+$2.3M65% of 1,065
Haradwaith$635-$334K50% of 45,603
cryptoincome$624-$17K91% of 1,007
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?"?

440 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 440 of them. The largest Yes holder is jpurd17, with $69 on it, $1.3K lifetime profit over 9 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is 100x, with $2.9K on it, $149K lifetime profit over 145 markets (91% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $319K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

69% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 5 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo