
Who's betting on “OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?”?
Finance · $319K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $319K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
69% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 5 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
440 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 440 of them. The largest Yes holder is jpurd17, with $69 on it, $1.3K lifetime profit over 9 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is 100x, with $2.9K on it, $149K lifetime profit over 145 markets (91% won).
- Smart money share
- 69%
- Holders
- 281
- Money on it
- $570
- Holders' winrate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 64%
- Holders
- 159
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' winrate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| jpurd17 | $69 | +$1.3K | 100% of 9 |
| Contentious-Dinnerdatewhale | $68 | +$97K | 67% of 1,063 |
| MarketCatwhale | $36 | +$8.8K | 61% of 201 |
| troimwhale | $34 | +$81K | 66% of 791 |
| JourneyerJohn | $30 | -$53 | 49% of 207 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100xwhale | $2.9K | +$149K | 91% of 145 |
| Paul973973whale | $2.6K | +$8.2K | 93% of 1,269 |
| ImJustKenwhale | $1.5K | +$2.3M | 65% of 1,065 |
| Haradwaith | $635 | -$334K | 50% of 45,603 |
| cryptoincome | $624 | -$17K | 91% of 1,007 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?"?
440 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 440 of them. The largest Yes holder is jpurd17, with $69 on it, $1.3K lifetime profit over 9 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is 100x, with $2.9K on it, $149K lifetime profit over 145 markets (91% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $319K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 5 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.