Who's betting on “Spread: Commanders (-4.5)”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $110K traded all time
- Held now
- $110K by 41 wallets
- Smart share · Commanders
- 97% 32 scored holders
- Smart share · Eagles
- 100% 8 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Commanders at 54¢ and Eagles at 47¢, a 54% implied chance of Commanders. $110K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 2, 2026.
The smart money
97% of the money on Commanders and 100% of the money on Eagles is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
Who holds it
41 wallets hold a position worth $110K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Commanders holder is BreakTheBank, with $45K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 687 markets (88% won). The largest Eagles holder is gmpm2, with $50K on it, $1.9M lifetime profit over 956 markets (52% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $30 on Commanders.
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $59K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
- Snipers
- 1 · $30
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $51K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsCommanders$59K on it
- 1BreakTheBank88% won of 687 · whale$45K+$11M lifetime
- 2HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,745 · whale$6.6K+$3.0M lifetime
- 3VeryLucky88859% won of 69,597 · whale$5.3K+$417K lifetime
- 40xaA0E2d9E050184ae1F85667EcB3f1C0af5222A0E-178051317792685% won of 359$696−$88K lifetime
- 5CAcap85% won of 8,956$535−$66K lifetime
Eagles$51K on it
- 1gmpm252% won of 956 · whale$50K+$1.9M lifetime
- 23879187398418945% won of 99,213 · whale$751+$210K lifetime
- 3dv-pm40% won of 2,035 · noise$93+$180K lifetime
- 4gurph80% won of 504$49−$971 lifetime
- 50x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks84% won of 2,632 · whale$42+$1.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Eagles vs. Commanders
24 more- Eagles vs. Commanders$561K vol.Eagles 30%Commanders 71%Smart money: Commanders
- Spread -6.5$400K vol.Commanders 47%Eagles 54%Smart money: Eagles
- Spread -5.5$197K vol.Commanders 51%Eagles 50%Smart money: Eagles
- Spread -17.5$119K vol.Commanders 18%Eagles 83%Smart money: Eagles
- Spread -14.5$33K vol.Commanders 23%Eagles 78%Smart money: Eagles
- 2H Spread -7.5$18K vol.Commanders 41%Eagles 59%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -3.5$18K vol.Eagles 37%Commanders 63%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -2.5$18K vol.Commanders 48%Eagles 52%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -6.5$17K vol.Eagles 40%Commanders 60%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -2.5$17K vol.Eagles 39%Commanders 62%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -4.5$16K vol.Eagles 42%Commanders 59%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -4.5$15K vol.Commanders 45%Eagles 55%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -1.5$15K vol.Commanders 42%Eagles 58%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -3.5$15K vol.Commanders 40%Eagles 61%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -9.5$14K vol.Commanders 45%Eagles 56%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -6.5$14K vol.Commanders 41%Eagles 59%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -5.5$14K vol.Commanders 49%Eagles 51%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -7.5$14K vol.Eagles 43%Commanders 57%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -8.5$13K vol.Commanders 49%Eagles 51%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -9.5$11K vol.Eagles 41%Commanders 60%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -7.5$6.6K vol.Commanders 41%Eagles 60%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -10.5$6.1K vol.Commanders 18%Eagles 83%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -2.5$6.1K vol.Commanders 66%Eagles 34%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -10.5$5.7K vol.Eagles 43%Commanders 57%Too little scored money to compare
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Commanders (-4.5)"?
41 wallets hold a position worth $110K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Commanders holder is BreakTheBank, with $45K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 687 markets (88% won). The largest Eagles holder is gmpm2, with $50K on it, $1.9M lifetime profit over 956 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Commanders (-4.5)"?
Polymarket prices Commanders at 54¢ and Eagles at 47¢, a 54% implied chance of Commanders. $110K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 2, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Commanders and 100% of the money on Eagles is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 2, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.