Who's betting on “Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)”?
Smart money leans Broncos: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $104K traded all time
- Held now
- $64K by 77 wallets
- Smart share · Chiefs
- 58% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · Broncos
- 88% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Chiefs at 88¢ and Broncos at 12¢, an 88% implied chance of Chiefs. $104K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
58% of the money on Chiefs and 88% of the money on Broncos is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Broncos, by 30 points.
Who holds it
77 wallets hold a position worth $64K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Chiefs holder is RN1, with $22K on it, $13M lifetime profit over 40,888 markets (60% won). The largest Broncos holder is gmpm2, with $4.9K on it, $1.9M lifetime profit over 956 markets (52% won).
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $57K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $7.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsChiefs$57K on it
- 1RN160% won of 40,888 · whale$22K+$13M lifetime
- 20xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-176523168781651% won of 762$18K−$352K lifetime
- 3ferrariChampions202658% won of 30,678 · whale$5.3K+$2.4M lifetime
- 4651239531459788450% won of 12,858$4.0K−$36K lifetime
- 5jeremyclar50% won of 50 · noise$3.5K+$5.5K lifetime
Broncos$7.7K on it
- 1gmpm252% won of 956 · whale$4.9K+$1.9M lifetime
- 2LuckyLoo70% won of 27,371 · whale$1.0K+$59K lifetime
- 3Multicoloured-Serf75% won of 306$706−$181K lifetime
- 4Herdonia60% won of 3,371 · whale$544+$57K lifetime
- 5hi774c84% won of 1,410 · whale$245+$142K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Chiefs vs. Broncos
24 more- Chiefs vs. Broncos$3.3M vol.Chiefs 90%Broncos 11%Smart money: Chiefs
- Spread -1.5$484K vol.Chiefs 90%Broncos 11%Smart money: Chiefs
- O/U 40.5$87K vol.Over 79%Under 22%Smart money: Under
- O/U 42.5$85K vol.Over 78%Under 23%Smart money: Under
- Spread -7.5$74K vol.Chiefs 63%Broncos 38%Smart money: Chiefs
- Spread -3.5$69K vol.Broncos 4%Chiefs 96%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -3.5$53K vol.Chiefs 79%Broncos 21%Smart money: Broncos
- O/U 52.5$46K vol.Over 24%Under 76%Smart money: Over
- O/U 50.5$42K vol.Over 28%Under 73%Smart money split
- Spread -7.5$41K vol.Broncos 1%Chiefs 99%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -1.5$27K vol.Broncos 41%Chiefs 59%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -16.5$26K vol.Broncos 0%Chiefs 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -20.5$22K vol.Broncos 2%Chiefs 99%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -2.5$18K vol.Broncos 9%Chiefs 91%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -2.5$16K vol.Broncos 7%Chiefs 93%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 44.5$16K vol.Over 59%Under 41%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -6.5$13K vol.Chiefs 67%Broncos 33%Smart money: Broncos
- O/U 56.5$10K vol.Over 13%Under 87%Too little scored money to compare
- 2H Spread -2.5$10K vol.Chiefs 66%Broncos 34%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -6.5$7.7K vol.Broncos 2%Chiefs 98%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$7.7K vol.Broncos 7%Chiefs 94%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -4.5$7.5K vol.Chiefs 79%Broncos 21%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -9.5$7.2K vol.Chiefs 51%Broncos 49%Smart money split
- 2H Spread -3.5$6.2K vol.Chiefs 62%Broncos 39%Too little scored money to compare
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- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)"?
77 wallets hold a position worth $64K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Chiefs holder is RN1, with $22K on it, $13M lifetime profit over 40,888 markets (60% won). The largest Broncos holder is gmpm2, with $4.9K on it, $1.9M lifetime profit over 956 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)"?
Polymarket prices Chiefs at 88¢ and Broncos at 12¢, an 88% implied chance of Chiefs. $104K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
58% of the money on Chiefs and 88% of the money on Broncos is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Broncos, by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.