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Who's betting on “Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)”?

Sports$23K traded33 holdersEnds September 26, 2026Updated September 26, 2026
15%New York Mets
85%Washington Nationals

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$23K
traded all time
Held now
$19K
by 33 wallets
Smart share · New York Mets
95%
16 scored holders
Smart share · Washington Nationals
96%
17 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices New York Mets at 15¢ and Washington Nationals at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of Washington Nationals. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 26, 2026.

The smart money

95% of the money on New York Mets and 96% of the money on Washington Nationals is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.

Who holds it

33 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them. The largest New York Mets holder is Donkey14, with $2.6K on it, $371K lifetime loss over 576 markets (75% won). The largest Washington Nationals holder is HomeRunHazard, with $8.2K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 21,652 markets (56% won).

New York Mets15%
Smart money share95%
a day ago 95%now 95%
Holders
16
Money on it
$7.5K
Holders' win rate
71%
Washington Nationals85%
Smart money share96%
a day ago 96%now 96%
Holders
17
Money on it
$12K
Holders' win rate
59%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

New York Mets$7.5K on it

  1. 1Donkey1475% won of 576$2.6K−$371K lifetime
  2. 20x9b11…537550% won of 6,204 · whale$150+$441K lifetime
  3. 30x5811c8AD5DC5990528357ecf1A6D03311D6c0976-178255088607170% won of 4,177$99−$90K lifetime
  4. 4xSundancer52% won of 4,392$33−$933 lifetime
  5. 53879187398418945% won of 88,419 · whale$32+$210K lifetime

Washington Nationals$12K on it

  1. 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,652 · whale$8.2K+$2.9M lifetime
  2. 2ferrariChampions202658% won of 28,256 · whale$6.7K+$2.1M lifetime
  3. 3HAGIII48% won of 826$1.2K−$302K lifetime
  4. 4slimjoe87% won of 858 · whale$615+$24K lifetime
  5. 5tomb245695% won of 401$370−$24K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)"?

33 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them. The largest New York Mets holder is Donkey14, with $2.6K on it, $371K lifetime loss over 576 markets (75% won). The largest Washington Nationals holder is HomeRunHazard, with $8.2K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 21,652 markets (56% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)"?

Polymarket prices New York Mets at 15¢ and Washington Nationals at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of Washington Nationals. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 26, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

95% of the money on New York Mets and 96% of the money on Washington Nationals is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on September 26, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.