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Who's betting on “M25 Norman, OK: Theo Papamalamis vs Alex Rybakov”?

Sports$85K traded77 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
100%Theo Papamalamis
0%Alex Rybakov🧠 smart money

Smart money leans Alex Rybakov: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 56 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$85K
traded all time
Held now
$24K
by 77 wallets
Smart share · Theo Papamalamis
31%
40 scored holders
Smart share · Alex Rybakov
88%
37 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Theo Papamalamis at 100¢ and Alex Rybakov at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Theo Papamalamis. $85K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

31% of the money on Theo Papamalamis and 88% of the money on Alex Rybakov is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Alex Rybakov, by 56 points.

Who holds it

77 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Theo Papamalamis holder is alpheclabs, with $15K on it, $979K lifetime loss over 15,299 markets (50% won). The largest Alex Rybakov holder is alpheclabs2, with $7 on it, $87K lifetime profit over 2,977 markets (49% won).

Theo Papamalamis100%
Smart money share31%
Holders
40
Money on it
$24K
Holders' win rate
56%
Alex Rybakov0%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share88%
Holders
37
Money on it
$12
Holders' win rate
51%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Theo Papamalamis$24K on it

  1. 1alpheclabs50% won of 15,299$15K−$979K lifetime
  2. 201258787xy4848748454512256% won of 895 · whale$2.6K+$289K lifetime
  3. 3Medussoth100% won of 22$1.5K+$3 lifetime
  4. 4berlinskies87% won of 3,932 · whale$949+$48K lifetime
  5. 50x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a1858% won of 962 · whale$490+$33K lifetime

Alex Rybakov$12 on it

  1. 1alpheclabs249% won of 2,977 · whale$7+$87K lifetime
  2. 2SlickRick12347% won of 11,621 · whale$2+$20K lifetime
  3. 3topdogbigboi57% won of 39,809$1−$2.9K lifetime
  4. 4Mindzen75% won of 764 · whale$1+$6.5K lifetime
  5. 5ojg51% won of 6,083 · whale$0+$31K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "M25 Norman, OK: Theo Papamalamis vs Alex Rybakov"?

77 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Theo Papamalamis holder is alpheclabs, with $15K on it, $979K lifetime loss over 15,299 markets (50% won). The largest Alex Rybakov holder is alpheclabs2, with $7 on it, $87K lifetime profit over 2,977 markets (49% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "M25 Norman, OK: Theo Papamalamis vs Alex Rybakov"?

Polymarket prices Theo Papamalamis at 100¢ and Alex Rybakov at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Theo Papamalamis. $85K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

31% of the money on Theo Papamalamis and 88% of the money on Alex Rybakov is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Alex Rybakov, by 56 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.