Who's betting on “Will IF Gnistan win on 2026-10-29?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $7.0K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.3K by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 12 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 67% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $7.0K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $6.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396, with $513 on it, $4.1M lifetime loss over 79,635 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is RN1, with $3.0K on it, $13M lifetime profit over 36,712 markets (60% won).
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $612
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $5.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$612 on it
- 10x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-178340600939647% won of 79,635$513−$4.1M lifetime
- 2testyeagles60% won of 5,743$36−$97K lifetime
- 3LuckyLoo70% won of 25,296 · whale$20+$55K lifetime
- 4nigiri9947% won of 16,701$14−$1.3M lifetime
- 50x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-177903712638249% won of 20,758$8−$16K lifetime
No$5.7K on it
- 1RN160% won of 36,712 · whale$3.0K+$13M lifetime
- 2GoalLineGhost60% won of 47,582$1.4K−$2.2M lifetime
- 3Flaznorp52% won of 142,287 · whale$265+$1.2M lifetime
- 4sergiotrader77% won of 61$210−$330 lifetime
- 5SnakeBall70% won of 42,820 · whale$156+$625K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will IF Gnistan win on 2026-10-29?"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $6.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396, with $513 on it, $4.1M lifetime loss over 79,635 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is RN1, with $3.0K on it, $13M lifetime profit over 36,712 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will IF Gnistan win on 2026-10-29?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $7.0K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.