Who's betting on “Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 78 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $254K traded all time
- Held now
- $59K by 235 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 12% 148 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 87 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $254K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
12% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 78 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 78 points. A week ago, No by 80 points.
Who holds it
235 wallets hold a position worth $59K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 235 of them. The largest Yes holder is junypchome, with $223 on it, $4.4K lifetime loss. The largest No holder is TheReturnOfDarthMaul, with $20K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,026 markets (60% won).
- Holders
- 148
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 87
- Money on it
- $57K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.4K on it
- 1junypchomeno record yet$223−$4.4K lifetime
- 2LZ.0167% won of 3$115−$36K lifetime
- 30xMilly16% won of 19$114−$14K lifetime
- 40xdCDdf0C728624b76B2955c04cDe35cC38f5173A5-177278177605464% won of 213$90−$39K lifetime
- 50xB1973A4c1edA59307dBC495a4BC384f77cDe6968-1780833529951no record yet$81−$205 lifetime
No$57K on it
- 1TheReturnOfDarthMaul60% won of 1,026 · whale$20K+$1.8M lifetime
- 2allenzzz73% won of 236 · whale$6.2K+$64K lifetime
- 3puravida64% won of 1,346 · whale$4.9K+$37K lifetime
- 4User1465778% won of 49 · balanced$3.8K+$2.0K lifetime
- 50xe617…f25190% won of 1,010$3.8K−$49K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?"?
235 wallets hold a position worth $59K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 235 of them. The largest Yes holder is junypchome, with $223 on it, $4.4K lifetime loss. The largest No holder is TheReturnOfDarthMaul, with $20K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,026 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $254K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
12% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 78 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 78 points. A week ago, No by 80 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.