
Who's betting on “Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-28?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $57K traded all time
- Held now
- $20K by 152 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 83 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 66 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $57K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points.
Who holds it
152 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 149 of them. The largest Yes holder is fraj0la, with $1.1K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 248 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is UpTheBlues, with $4.9K on it, $1.4M lifetime profit over 87,097 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 86
- Money on it
- $5.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 66
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.3K on it
- 1fraj0la63% won of 248 · balanced$1.1K+$27K lifetime
- 2Flaznorp52% won of 140,282 · whale$761+$1.3M lifetime
- 3PLY-S048% won of 3,729$678−$12K lifetime
- 4rabbitfoot192% won of 638 · whale$371+$264K lifetime
- 50x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546546% won of 6,036 · whale$350+$4.3M lifetime
No$15K on it
- 1UpTheBlues69% won of 87,097 · whale$4.9K+$1.4M lifetime
- 2oieshfn34552% won of 5,488 · whale$3.3K+$264K lifetime
- 3dv-pm40% won of 1,722 · noise$1.9K+$175K lifetime
- 40x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-177195966208083% won of 1,475 · whale$772+$2.2K lifetime
- 5VeryLucky88860% won of 61,126 · whale$571+$418K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC
2 more- São Paulo FC$87K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: No
- Draw (EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC)$4.0K vol.Yes 59%No 42%Smart money: Yes
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$37M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.3M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage$4.1M vol.Invictus Gaming 100%LYON 0%Smart money: LYON
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-28?"?
152 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 149 of them. The largest Yes holder is fraj0la, with $1.1K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 248 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is UpTheBlues, with $4.9K on it, $1.4M lifetime profit over 87,097 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-28?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $57K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.