Who's betting on “Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 65% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $36K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.9K by 105 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 65% 61 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 48% 44 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 5, 2026.
The smart money
65% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 48 points.
Who holds it
105 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is mgm93, with $797 on it, $4.3K lifetime profit over 141 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $1.2K on it, $432K lifetime loss over 12,108 markets (49% won).
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.0K on it
- 1mgm9357% won of 141 · balanced$797+$4.3K lifetime
- 2dnaghsa54% won of 191$594−$3.6K lifetime
- 3TooLateJerome02188% won of 149 · balanced$369+$5.6K lifetime
- 40x4734CF8aBFA7Ad6Cf3cD6B6e12130946B4a60979-176469203615256% won of 50 · balanced$214+$2.5K lifetime
- 5jorgescino record yet$153+$0 lifetime
No$3.9K on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,108$1.2K−$432K lifetime
- 2MultiQuant24hAgent60% won of 50 · balanced$1.0K+$3.0K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,228$400−$49K lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 87,062 · noise$375+$829K lifetime
- 5grinder101147% won of 519 · whale$234+$11K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
2 moreOther big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?"?
105 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is mgm93, with $797 on it, $4.3K lifetime profit over 141 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $1.2K on it, $432K lifetime loss over 12,108 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 48 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.