Who's betting on “Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?”?
Smart money leans Messi: 54% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $48K traded all time
- Held now
- $26K by 156 wallets
- Smart share · Rodri
- 39% 55 scored holders
- Smart share · Messi
- 54% 94 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 27, 2026 and resolved Rodri. $48K has been traded on it.
The smart money
39% of the money on Rodri and 54% of the money on Messi is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Messi, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Messi, by 31 points. A week ago, Messi by 34 points.
Who holds it
156 wallets hold a position worth $26K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 149 of them.
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $26K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 99
- Money on it
- $13
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$37M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.3M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Lakers vs. Clippers$3.7M vol.Lakers 100%Clippers 0%Smart money: Clippers
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?"?
156 wallets hold a position worth $26K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 149 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?"?
This market closed on October 27, 2026 and resolved Rodri. $48K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
39% of the money on Rodri and 54% of the money on Messi is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Messi, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Messi, by 31 points. A week ago, Messi by 34 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 27, 2026 and resolved Rodri. $48K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.