Who's betting on “Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils”?
Smart money leans Alex Michelsen: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $382K traded all time
- Held now
- $254K by 562 wallets
- Smart share · Alex Michelsen
- 86% 260 scored holders
- Smart share · Arthur Fils
- 49% 291 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Alex Michelsen at 35¢ and Arthur Fils at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of Arthur Fils. $382K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 5, 2026.
The smart money
86% of the money on Alex Michelsen and 49% of the money on Arthur Fils is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Alex Michelsen, by 37 points.
Who holds it
562 wallets hold a position worth $254K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 551 of them. The largest Alex Michelsen holder is UpTheBlues, with $23K on it, $1.4M lifetime profit over 87,852 markets (69% won). The largest Arthur Fils holder is avonking, with $19K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 461 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 270
- Money on it
- $88K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 292
- Money on it
- $166K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsAlex Michelsen$88K on it
- 1UpTheBlues69% won of 87,852 · whale$23K+$1.4M lifetime
- 2ferrariChampions202658% won of 28,438 · whale$22K+$2.1M lifetime
- 3omnibus-076daa73% won of 16,743 · whale$4.6K+$3.5M lifetime
- 4RN160% won of 36,680 · whale$4.4K+$13M lifetime
- 5HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,679 · whale$4.1K+$2.9M lifetime
Arthur Fils$166K on it
- 1avonking100% won of 461 · whale$19K+$35K lifetime
- 2651239531459788451% won of 11,059$14K−$5.6K lifetime
- 3Kkunn70% won of 405$12K−$28K lifetime
- 40x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546547% won of 6,110 · whale$10K+$4.4M lifetime
- 5Momo6393% won of 1,089 · whale$9.6K+$146K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils"?
562 wallets hold a position worth $254K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 551 of them. The largest Alex Michelsen holder is UpTheBlues, with $23K on it, $1.4M lifetime profit over 87,852 markets (69% won). The largest Arthur Fils holder is avonking, with $19K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 461 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils"?
Polymarket prices Alex Michelsen at 35¢ and Arthur Fils at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of Arthur Fils. $382K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Alex Michelsen and 49% of the money on Arthur Fils is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Alex Michelsen, by 37 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.