polkyo
Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien”?

Sports$69K traded133 holdersEnds November 8, 2026Updated November 2, 2026
48%Joaquin Aguilar
53%Hugo Dellien🧠 smart money

Smart money leans Hugo Dellien: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 60 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$69K
traded all time
Held now
$56K
by 133 wallets
Smart share · Joaquin Aguilar
34%
74 scored holders
Smart share · Hugo Dellien
93%
57 scored holders
📈 Open the live signal🔔 Alert me when smart money movesTrade on Polymarket ↗

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Joaquin Aguilar at 48¢ and Hugo Dellien at 53¢, a 53% implied chance of Hugo Dellien. $69K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.

The smart money

34% of the money on Joaquin Aguilar and 93% of the money on Hugo Dellien is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Hugo Dellien, by 60 points.

Who holds it

133 wallets hold a position worth $56K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 131 of them. The largest Joaquin Aguilar holder is darkumbreon88, with $13K on it, $12K lifetime loss over 1,975 markets (97% won). The largest Hugo Dellien holder is Emberwick, with $25K on it, $670 lifetime profit over 6 markets (67% won).

Joaquin Aguilar48%
Smart money share34%
Holders
74
Money on it
$27K
Holders' win rate
82%
Hugo Dellien53%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share93%
Holders
59
Money on it
$30K
Holders' win rate
66%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Joaquin Aguilar$27K on it

  1. 1darkumbreon8897% won of 1,975$13K−$12K lifetime
  2. 2RN160% won of 40,888 · whale$5.2K+$13M lifetime
  3. 30xf12f7688A0bC8Cc744eF871f70B74c16a976b30f-177978045323994% won of 416$2.4K−$46K lifetime
  4. 4Bagwell30693% won of 685 · whale$950+$245K lifetime
  5. 5GamblingAddict1234588% won of 1,102 · whale$846+$22K lifetime

Hugo Dellien$30K on it

  1. 1Emberwick67% won of 6$25K+$670 lifetime
  2. 2SportsGuru69% won of 312$1.1K−$42K lifetime
  3. 33879187398418945% won of 99,213 · whale$1.1K+$210K lifetime
  4. 4UpTheBlues69% won of 97,256 · whale$693+$1.4M lifetime
  5. 5warehouse.83% won of 84$203−$1.1K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

Other big sports markets

Every big sports market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien"?

133 wallets hold a position worth $56K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 131 of them. The largest Joaquin Aguilar holder is darkumbreon88, with $13K on it, $12K lifetime loss over 1,975 markets (97% won). The largest Hugo Dellien holder is Emberwick, with $25K on it, $670 lifetime profit over 6 markets (67% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien"?

Polymarket prices Joaquin Aguilar at 48¢ and Hugo Dellien at 53¢, a 53% implied chance of Hugo Dellien. $69K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

34% of the money on Joaquin Aguilar and 93% of the money on Hugo Dellien is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Hugo Dellien, by 60 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.