Who's betting on “Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?”?
Smart money leans Anthropic: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $100K traded all time
- Held now
- $29K by 116 wallets
- Smart share · Anthropic
- 88% 62 scored holders
- Smart share · OpenAI
- 63% 54 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Anthropic at 93¢ and OpenAI at 8¢, a 93% implied chance of Anthropic. $100K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
The smart money
88% of the money on Anthropic and 63% of the money on OpenAI is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Anthropic, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Anthropic, by 24 points. A week ago, Anthropic by 24 points.
Who holds it
116 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Anthropic holder is thoodr, with $9.3K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won). The largest OpenAI holder is 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876, with $1.0K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 284 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $27K
- Holders' win rate
- 82%
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsAnthropic$27K on it
- 1thoodr96% won of 830 · whale$9.3K+$100K lifetime
- 2TheReturnOfDarthMaul60% won of 1,026 · whale$3.2K+$1.8M lifetime
- 3phdcapital100% won of 294 · whale$2.3K+$59K lifetime
- 4Cryp93% won of 224 · whale$1.8K+$17K lifetime
- 5End12362% won of 674$1.1K−$42K lifetime
OpenAI$2.0K on it
- 10x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-177846773587665% won of 284 · whale$1.0K+$27K lifetime
- 2hail-marketsno record yet$275−$5.2K lifetime
- 3Mikele23% won of 13$134−$4.9K lifetime
- 4ufvogueno record yet$78+$0 lifetime
- 5maintao44% won of 79 · noise$45+$169 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?"?
116 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Anthropic holder is thoodr, with $9.3K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won). The largest OpenAI holder is 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876, with $1.0K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 284 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Anthropic at 93¢ and OpenAI at 8¢, a 93% implied chance of Anthropic. $100K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Anthropic and 63% of the money on OpenAI is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Anthropic, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Anthropic, by 24 points. A week ago, Anthropic by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 5, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.