Who's betting on “Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.8K by 41 wallets
- Smart share · Anthropic + OpenAI
- 86% 20 scored holders
- Smart share · Microsoft
- 91% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Anthropic + OpenAI at 25¢ and Microsoft at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of Microsoft. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
The smart money
86% of the money on Anthropic + OpenAI and 91% of the money on Microsoft is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
41 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Anthropic + OpenAI holder is TheReturnOfDarthMaul, with $735 on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,026 markets (60% won). The largest Microsoft holder is 0xDAC432f5A09b4B79ab5E259c30E51F8512E9a8c9-1762236145761, with $1.7K on it, $937 lifetime profit over 135 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $934
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsAnthropic + OpenAI $934 on it
- 1TheReturnOfDarthMaul60% won of 1,026 · whale$735+$1.8M lifetime
- 2Wachufleiba8828% won of 262$61−$234 lifetime
- 3fart1256% won of 89 · balanced$50+$4 lifetime
- 4SKYSKY66881169% won of 26$25−$505 lifetime
- 5Krasav4ik38% won of 200$17−$1.7K lifetime
Microsoft$2.9K on it
- 10xDAC432f5A09b4B79ab5E259c30E51F8512E9a8c9-176223614576158% won of 135 · balanced$1.7K+$937 lifetime
- 2vimtodcs88% won of 304 · balanced$417+$27K lifetime
- 30xFa2E35DFf31D5D208F688d6C19A0f3D91Ac4162c-178320008156171% won of 201$151−$161 lifetime
- 4Red781RuM57% won of 1,026 · whale$151+$37K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$146+$254K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?"?
41 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Anthropic + OpenAI holder is TheReturnOfDarthMaul, with $735 on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,026 markets (60% won). The largest Microsoft holder is 0xDAC432f5A09b4B79ab5E259c30E51F8512E9a8c9-1762236145761, with $1.7K on it, $937 lifetime profit over 135 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Anthropic + OpenAI at 25¢ and Microsoft at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of Microsoft. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Anthropic + OpenAI and 91% of the money on Microsoft is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 5, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.