Who's betting on “Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
Smart money leans No: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 40 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.3K by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 48% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 56¢ and No at 44¢, a 56% implied chance of Yes. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
48% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $9.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is Highboard, with $2.1K on it, $29K lifetime loss over 204 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is ImJustKen, with $2.2K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $5.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.4K on it
- 1Highboard51% won of 204$2.1K−$29K lifetime
- 2leftisright51% won of 183 · balanced$1.5K+$1.6K lifetime
- 30xe636…0e88100% won of 5$373+$31 lifetime
- 4Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$370−$59K lifetime
- 5indstngchatr40% won of 203$230−$362 lifetime
No$3.9K on it
- 1ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$2.2K+$2.3M lifetime
- 2EsperanzasDESTROYER75% won of 204 · balanced$848+$38K lifetime
- 30x49F20662% won of 862$143−$41K lifetime
- 4lissartter56% won of 2,997$101−$287K lifetime
- 5Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$97+$801K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big pop culture markets
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- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $9.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is Highboard, with $2.1K on it, $29K lifetime loss over 204 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is ImJustKen, with $2.2K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 56¢ and No at 44¢, a 56% implied chance of Yes. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
48% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.