Who's betting on “Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 51 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.9K by 60 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 29% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 46 points. A week ago, Yes by 40 points.
Who holds it
60 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is cat-dog, with $2.5K on it, $43K lifetime profit over 208 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $33 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 54,058 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $6.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $169
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.8K on it
- 1cat-dog71% won of 208 · balanced$2.5K+$43K lifetime
- 2ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$2.1K+$2.3M lifetime
- 3Gamble.and.bankurpt62% won of 210$1.2K−$25K lifetime
- 4balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$575+$1.2M lifetime
- 50xb7de…b80248% won of 262 · whale$95+$22K lifetime
No$169 on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$33−$377K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$30−$485K lifetime
- 3Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$28+$801K lifetime
- 40x93320774204414C66C6Bd2Bb60a197c493BA5D34-177868543694314% won of 21$12−$105 lifetime
- 5ratlabs44% won of 200$10−$100 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?"?
60 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is cat-dog, with $2.5K on it, $43K lifetime profit over 208 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $33 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 54,058 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 46 points. A week ago, Yes by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.